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Name: Yong Long
Gender: Male


Interests: Risk
Expertise: Risk Management
Occupation: Risk Manager
Industry: Banking & Finance


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MSN: yonglong@hotmail.com


Member Since: 11/7/2006

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Tuesday, April 10, 2007

I HAVE MOVED

yonglonglai.com
http://yonglonglai.com/

 

Trading Diary
http://yonglonglai.com/category/shares/trading-diary/

 

 


Friday, March 30, 2007

March Option Expiry

My three position expired worthless today! YAY

After brokerage profit of $3,049.4 from risking $15,000 (before tax). Thats 20.3% returns in approximately 30days, thats an amazing ~247% returns per annum annualised!!!

Hopefully this will happen again for the next month! I will keep you guys informed on my new positions that I open up for April. Currently I have OXR contracts opened for April, which should go well (bare in mind there is a 5c dividend for OXR in April)

Have a good night!


Wednesday, March 28, 2007

OXR - roll out

Just to explain to people what rolling out means:

Rolling out means, closing my current contracts at a loss and reopening an equivalent contract for the next month to pay for the loss:

Initial Trade:
Sell 20 OXR X=$3.00 MAR Contract @ 9.5c       +$1,900
Buy 20 OXR X=$2.75 MAR Contract @ 2.5c       -$500
                                                                 +$1,400 (Net Credit)

Roll Out:
Buy 20 OXR X=$3.00 MAR Contract @ 13.5c      -$2,700
Sell 20 OXR X=$2.75MARContract @ 0c            +$0
Sell 20 OXR X=$3.00 APR Contract @ 22.5c       +$4,500
Buy 20 OXR X=$2.75 APR Contract @ 8c            -$1,600
                                                                +$200 (Net Credit)

After rolling out my position, I will end up with:
Sold 20 OXR X=$3.00 APR Contract
Bought 20 OXR X=$2.75 APR Contract
(At the end of April, if OXR stays above $3.00, I will profit $1,600.
Bare in mind this is over 2 month period, usually we expect to get
this return over 1 month)

Brokerage has not been taken into consideration, Assuming everything goes well for April. There will be $579.5 worth of brokerage on the $1,600 income.

What I have effectively done is delayed my profit for the next month because I was unable to take any profit this month. This is one of the 'coolest' strategy I have ever seen in my life, I never knew you could make money from this until about 6 months ago.

As for the rest of my positions, I am expecting all of them to expire worthless. This means I will have generated $3,000 worth of FREE money by risking $15,000 (borrowed money) in approximately 30 days (after brokerage). The best thing is, I didn't even try very hard. Must have spent approximately 1hr maximum during the month finding those trades and researching. I spend more time writing in this blog then I do finding and monitoring my trades!!!

I will keep you guys up to date tomorrow, when the March contracts expire!


Monday, March 26, 2007

Weekly Update

It has been a good recovery in the market over the past 3 weeks. The All Ords closed at 5970.50, it has nearly recovered back to the 6000 mark. Over the past 3-4weeks there was plently of opportunity to make a lot of money!

I have been busy building my business over the past few weeks to monitor my position and open any new ones. Currently all but one of my position are doing very well.

FGL   6.5/6, currently trading at 6.68 (position is safe - 24% returns over 34 days)
WPL  36/35.5, currently trading at 38.23 (position is safe - 20% returns over 34 days)  
QBE   30.5/30, currently trading at 32.45 (position is safe - 30% returns over 20 days)
OXR   3/2.75, currently trading at 2.81 (monitoring this position - 28% returns over 30 days)

US market is falling as we speak, down ~0.6%, i'm expecting the market to drop tomorrow morning, however it should not affect any of my position, except may OXR. I am prepared to roll the OXR position out to April, hopefully at a lower strike.

3 more days till options expiry! exiciting times!


Sunday, March 18, 2007

ZFX - Recommendation

Title: Zinifex Limited (ZFX)
Trade Date: Thursday 15th March 2007
Last Traded Price: 16.11
Description: 

Zinifex has held up extremely well considering the recent market sell off, we favor Zinifex at these levels. Good volatility in the stock means that even mid way through the month we can still sell puts reasonably far from the money and receive good premiums.

The stock pays a 70 cent dividend the day after expiry so we expect the market to be bided up for Zinifex as investors will be attracted to the dividend.

 

Bull Put Spread

 - MAR 15.50 PUTS @ 23
+ MAR 15.00 PUTS @ 12.5

Expiry = 29/3/07
SPC = 1000
Max Profit = 10.5 cents
Max Risk = 39.5 cents
ROR = 26.6%
Breakeven = $15.395

 

(Again, I did not personally open this position as I have enough exposure in the market for this cycle)
Remember to play by the rules
Mastery of Stock Market Intelligence



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